Compound Signal Intelligence Engine

The signal environment has already moved. Most models haven’t.

As energy, logistics, and input costs activate simultaneously from the same Hormuz signal — and as the IMF this week declined to publish a conventional forecast — is your practice equipped to show clients the compound mechanism running through their P&L before their Q2 numbers confirm it?

PHM Engine is the compound signal intelligence layer that closes it. For your clients. At scale. The licence is flat. The deployments are unlimited. The margin is yours.

Signal Environment · 15 April 2026Active
45
Hormuz · US Naval Blockade · Day count
Brent Crude$101.82 /bbl
TTF Natural Gas€47.00 /MWh
DXY Index99.03
ECB Deposit Rate2.25%
IMF WEO StatusReference forecast
Track Record8 calls · 0 incorrect
IMF · 14 April 2026
Published a “reference forecast” — declined to model the signal environment conventionally. The first time in WEO history.
ECB · 17 April 2026
Cut 25bps. Published projections on assumptions — energy normalisation, consumer recovery — that the signal environment has already moved.
PHM Engine · Since March 2024
Has been mapping the specific mechanisms that make those assumptions fragile. Named signals. Sourced paths. Board-defensible numbers.
01The Gap PHM Engine Fills

Every CFO is building their H2 plan on assumptions the signal environment has already moved.

Their existing stack has the data. It does not have the transmission path from that data to their specific P&L line — with a named mechanism, a historical precedent, and a preparation window deadline.

That sentence. PHM Engine produces it. In 48 hours. For any sector. Any function. Any signal environment.

Existing tool
Bloomberg
Data. No transmission path to the client’s P&L line.
Existing tool
Strategy team
Narrative. No mechanism, no precedent, no deadline.
Existing tool
Big Four
Frameworks. Six weeks. Signal environment has moved.
Existing tool
Internal model
Stops at the company boundary. Does not read customers.
PHM Engine
The compound read
The specific transmission path from a named live signal to your client’s P&L line — routed to their function, anchored in historical precedent, with a preparation window deadline. The outside-in layer included. The sentence their existing stack cannot produce. At any price.
02Business Cases · Real Signals · Real Sectors · Real Deltas

The methodology applied.
Six sectors. Six functions.
Inherited compound intelligence.

Six
Business cases  ·  April 2026
Case 01  ·  Germany  ·  Manufacturing
Compound COGS
CFO  ·  COO
StandardCOGS impact+4.2%
StandardEBITDA guidance€22.1M
PHMCompound COGS+9.7%
PHMEBITDA delta−€9M
The outside-in read
BMW/Stellantis procurement mandates block pass-through at the exact moment compound COGS arrives. Covenant 3.1× — breach scenario. Compound factor 2.3×.
Case 02  ·  UK  ·  FMCG
CPL Signal Event
CMO  ·  CGO  ·  CEO
StandardCPL +34% diagnosisCreative problem
StandardQ2 revenue€100.1M
PHMCorrect diagnosisSignal event
PHMQ2 delta−€17M
The outside-in read
DXY 99 compressing EM purchasing power in UAE, South Africa, Brazil simultaneously. CPL rises across all channels — not a creative problem. €1.41M avoidable waste separates the two diagnoses.
Case 03  ·  Europe  ·  Financial Services
Compound Correlation
CFO  ·  CEO
StandardLoan loss provision€16.4M
StandardForecast confidence86%
PHMCompound provision€28.2M
PHMAUM under review€1.82B
Inherited intelligence
Cases 01–02 inherited. 68% of lending book under simultaneous stress. Cross-sector correlation 1.8–2.6× worse than independent models. CET1 12.2%.
Case 04  ·  Netherlands  ·  Renewable Energy
The Beneficiary Read
CGO  ·  CEO  ·  CFO
StandardCAGR target14%
StandardCapital in reserve€90M
PHMSignal-adjusted CAGR22–26%
PHM4-year upside+€1,279M
The beneficiary read
Every compression company in Cases 01–03 is a demand signal. 1,200+ industrial companies at peak energy urgency. €90M in reserve = capital destruction at 18–19% IRR. Window: 18 months.
Case 05  ·  Singapore  ·  APAC Industrial
Four Directions
CEO  ·  CFO  ·  CGO
StandardGroup model viewOne number
StandardGrowth target+16%
PHMFour chains simultaneouslyଔ directions
PHMCompound opportunity+SGD 308M
The APAC insight
Every ASEAN factory win (Div 2) generates Japan automation demand (Div 4). SGD 128M in no pipeline, no model. Capital misallocated by treating APAC as one number.
Case 06  ·  US  ·  B2B SaaS
The Pipeline Freeze
CRO  ·  CFO  ·  CGO
StandardForecast confidence89%
StandardPipeline coverage3.2×
PHMAdjusted confidence54%
PHMPipeline at risk−$2.14M
Buyer-side signal read
Manufacturing CFO customers in compound COGS stress. Their freeze is the pipeline freeze. CRM reads active — PHM reads frozen. NRR erosion at 12 months. Total impact: −$1.8M vs plan.
03The Corpus & Commercial Model  ·  Why It Cannot Be Replicated  ·  What It Costs

You could build
this yourself.
Good luck.

The barrier is not the technology. Anyone can build an API. The barrier is the corpus.

Six business cases with inherited compound intelligence. A methodology the IMF validated this week when they declined to publish a conventional baseline. A track record of eight calls, four confirmed, zero incorrect — published in public and verifiable against the observable record.

The corpus took two years to build. It compounds with every new case. The APAC case inherits five cases of compound intelligence that cannot exist without the four that preceded it. That advantage is not available anywhere else.

A competitor starting today will have this in two years. By then PHM Engine will have twelve cases, a richer track record, and two additional years of compound calibration. The gap does not close. It widens.

Named outcome  ·  October 2024

PHM mapped the Hormuz supply disruption transmission mechanism 44 days before Brent crossed $100. The compound mechanism — energy, logistics, and input costs activating simultaneously — was documented with named sources and a preparation window of 8 weeks. Companies that acted on the read reduced their forward energy exposure before the forward curve repriced. The mechanism was documented. The sources were named. The outcome is verifiable against the public record.

Business cases built6
Sectors covered6
C-suite functions covered6
Track record calls8
Confirmed calls4
Incorrect calls0
Named sources indexed90+
Corpus building sinceMarch 2024
Institutional validationIMF · ECB

Flat licence.
Unlimited deployments.
The margin is yours.

PHM Engine is licensed as an API at a flat annual fee — regardless of how many client deployments you run. New capabilities are scoped services engagements. Built once. Retained permanently under your licence.

Starter
Foundation
€24K
per year · flat API licence
One sector coverage
One function — CFO, CRO, or CMO
Up to five client deployments
Quarterly calibration included
PHM Engine API access
Request session
Core · Primary tier
Practice
€60K
per year · flat API licence
Three sectors covered
Three functions — any combination
Unlimited client deployments
Semi-annual outcome review
Full API documentation
Co-brand rights included
Request session
Enterprise
Full Corpus
€180K
per year · flat API licence
Full sector coverage — all six
All six functions
Unlimited deployments · all geographies
Annual compound intelligence review
White-label rights
Named account management
Request session

New capability services · one-time fee · retained permanently under licence

New Sector Integration
Signal parameters calibrated for a new sector. Business case template built and retained.
€8,000 – €15,000
Platform Integration
PHM Engine connected to Salesforce, HubSpot, Snowflake, Databricks, or data cleanroom.
€12,000 – €25,000
New Function Coverage
New C-suite function added. Compound question calibration and signal routing included.
€6,000 – €12,000
Geographic Signal Layer
New geography calibrated. Transmission mechanisms documented. Regional parameter set.
€8,000 – €18,000
PHM Platform  ·  The signal read
For executives who want the compound read for their own company.
PHM Platform delivers the compound signal read directly to CFOs, CMOs, and CROs. Signal Watch, the Diagnostic, the Executive Brief. The same methodology. For the end client.
Visit PHM Platform  →
PHM Engine  ·  The API layer
For practices that want to deploy compound signal intelligence for their clients.
PHM Engine is the API licence that puts the compound read inside your practice. Unlimited client deployments. Flat fee. The six Meridian Series cases show exactly what the methodology produces.
View business cases  →
The next step

One conversation.
A diagnostic that ends
with a number.

If the gap between the signal environment and your clients’ models is a problem you want to close, the next step is a single session. We map the client environment, identify the integration path, and produce a commercial proposal. No obligation. No product demonstration. No pitch deck.

Request discovery session

No demos · No product pitches · One conversation