Not a forecast. The mechanism behind it.
PHM Diagnostic · Entry · Hormuz Day 109 · TTF EUR 46 · Signal environment live
Begin the read / Compound signal · calibrated to your position

You already have a position. We will tell you what it exposes.

Give us the URL of the company you run or advise. PHM maps it, reads the compound signal against your sector, and returns the one question your next board meeting should be built around.

The read · ~30 seconds · no account

Enter the URL of the company you run or advise.

https://
Takes ~30 sec to map No account needed Private — URL not stored
Can't share a URL

If the company is private, unlisted, or won't map — pick your sector manually and the method calibrates against the cohort-level signal instead.

Choose sector →
What you receive

A board-ready read, calibrated to your company in about two minutes. Here is a completed one.

PHM Diagnostic · Sample read BASF SE · Chemicals · Europe
The decision
Hedge now€180m
Wait for cascade€540m
THRESHOLD · 55 CASCADE · 3× YOU ARE HERE EUR 25 EUR 42 · today EUR 80
The moveExtend combined gas hedge to 75% at 12-month-plus tenor · CFO + Treasury · window 0–14 days.
Illustrative · your read is generated live from the URL you enter
  • The compound question your next board meeting should be built around.
  • Your position on the cascade — what's exposed, how protected, when it lands.
  • The cost of waiting — now versus at cascade, and the date the window closes.
  • The first move — the one action to take now, with owner and timing.
How it works · about two minutes
  1. 01 · here

    Map the company to the signal environment

    URL → sector → the transmission chain currently active against your cost structure.

    ~30 seconds
  2. 02

    Calibrate — four questions on your position

    Feedstock, hedge, re-pricing window, decision horizon. The method locates you precisely in the chain.

    ~90 seconds
  3. 03

    Signal Read — the question for the board

    Transmission path, financial exposure, decision window, and the compound question your next board meeting should be built around.

    Immediate
Provenance

The method has been applied against 15 named compound signals since 2020. This diagnostic runs the same engine — compressed to two minutes and calibrated to one company.

Signals
15 · since 2020
Diagnostic time
~2 minutes
Data handling
SOC 2
Privacy
URL not stored
PHM Diagnostic · Entry surface · Issued 7 May 2026 Begin the read · predictivehistorymethod.com